Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 40m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · USL. League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 9-4 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Charlotte Independence vs AV AltaFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Cobresal vs PalestinoFootball · Serie A | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| General Caballero vs Deportivo CapiataFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 1.43 · −29.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Mushuc Runa vs DelfinFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Independiente Yumbo vs LeonesFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Comerciantes Unidos vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Hornchurch vs WokingFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.17 · −11.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| The New Saints vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Aldershot Town vs Harrogate TownFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.88 · −9.6% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Hartlepool United vs EastleighFootball · National league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Juvenes/Dogana vs FaetanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Cailungo vs SP DomagnanoFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.40 · +6.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Rio Ave vs Sporting LisbonFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.32 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Folgore/Falciano vs MurataFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.10 · +4.8% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Crystal Palace vs Manchester CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 1:4 | WON |
| Barry Town vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Cork City vs WexfordFootball · Division 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| Holywell Town vs CaernarfonFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.30 · +11.1% CLV | 3-5 | WON |
| Kerry vs Treaty UnitedFootball · Division 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.93 · +0.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Genk vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Connahs Quay vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Genclerbirligi vs Erzurumspor BBFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.90 · −13.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
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