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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Assat vs K-Espoo

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

QPR vs Preston North End

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Fylde vs Altrincham

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Real Aviles U19 vs Ural CF U19

Football · U19. Youth Championship

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Forfar vs Annan Athletic

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.45 · +14.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Malisheva vs KF Ballkani

Football · Superliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Chelsea U21 vs Fulham U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Stavanger Oilers vs Nidaros

Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV
Score
3-6

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Maribor vs Aluminij

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2:2

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Stjernen vs Lillehammer

Ice Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.58 · +5.3% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Saryer vs Boluspor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Bzenec-Vracov vs FC Strani

Football · League 4

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-6

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Hasselt vs Beerschot Wilrijk

Football · Division 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

United of Manchester vs Ossett United

Football · Cup. Qualifying stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.27 · −9.3% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Brackley Town vs Portchester

Football · Cup. Qualifying stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Livingston vs Inverness

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.85 · −1.1% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate and Finchley

Football · Cup. Qualifying stage

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Forest Green Rovers vs Boston United

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Saint Mirren vs Dundee United

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.85 · +29.5% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Jokerit vs Tappara

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline

Football · Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.65 · +13.8% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Buxton vs Ashton United

Football · Cup. Qualifying stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Feronikeli vs Vushtrria

Football · Superliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.90 · +6.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Gorleston vs Bury Town

Football · Cup. Qualifying stage

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Assat vs K-EspooIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
QPR vs Preston North EndFootball · Championship2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Fylde vs AltrinchamFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV1-2LOST
Real Aviles U19 vs Ural CF U19Football · U19. Youth Championship2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Forfar vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.45 · +14.0% CLV1-0LOST
Malisheva vs KF BallkaniFootball · Superliga2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Chelsea U21 vs Fulham U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Stavanger Oilers vs NidarosIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV3-6LOST
Maribor vs AluminijFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV2:2LOST
Stjernen vs LillehammerIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.58 · +5.3% CLV2-3LOST
Saryer vs BolusporFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV2-1WON
Bzenec-Vracov vs FC StraniFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV3-6WON
Hasselt vs Beerschot WilrijkFootball · Division 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV0-1WON
United of Manchester vs Ossett UnitedFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.27 · −9.3% CLV4-1WON
Brackley Town vs PortchesterFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Livingston vs InvernessFootball · Championship2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.85 · −1.1% CLV2-2LOST
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Wingate and FinchleyFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Forest Green Rovers vs Boston UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV1-3LOST
Saint Mirren vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.85 · +29.5% CLV0-3LOST
Jokerit vs TapparaIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV0-6WON
Greenock Morton vs DunfermlineFootball · Championship2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.65 · +13.8% CLV0-1WON
Stenhousemuir vs ArbroathFootball · Championship2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV1-0WON
Buxton vs Ashton UnitedFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV1-0WON
Feronikeli vs VushtrriaFootball · Superliga2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.90 · +6.7% CLV3-1WON
Gorleston vs Bury TownFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV3-4WON

251–275 of 3250· 1912 won / 1334 lost · −278.6u · −8.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.