Strasbourg vs Lens
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV
- Score
- 2:1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
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· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg vs LensFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV | 2:1 | LOST |
| Pardubice vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.43 · −21.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Arouca vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Krasnodar vs RostovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.62 · −3.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| De Graafschap vs Almere CityFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Slough Town vs Folkestone InvictaFootball · National League. South | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.85 · +6.9% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Afturelding vs IF VestriFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.25 · +11.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Walsall vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 1.80 · −10.9% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Sheffield Wednesday vs BromleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.73 · +1.8% CLV | 7-2 | WON |
| Grindavik vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.12 · −9.8% CLV | 4-3 | LOST |
| Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead UnitedFootball · National League. South | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Shrewsbury Town vs Salford CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| York City vs Exeter CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Leyton Orient vs BarnsleyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Elversberg vs Bayer LeverkusenFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Quick Boys vs KloetingeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.37 · +7.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Elfsborg vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| San Giovanni vs Tre PenneFootball · Championship | first seen 59m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs BaranovichiFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hacken vs VasterasFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Deportivo Santani vs Atletico TembetaryFootball · Division 2 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| Motor Lublin vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Nomme United vs Harju LaagriFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Blackpool vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.70 · −17.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Liverpool vs Nottingham ForestFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.52 · +2.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
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