Mardin BB vs Vanspor
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mardin BB vs VansporFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.85 · −7.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 20m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 17-5 | WON |
| Bravo vs MuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.10 · −8.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Talleres Remedios vs UAI UrquizaFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| LASK vs Rheindorf AltachFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi NetanyaFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.42 · −5.3% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| IB Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Radnik SurdulicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 2.10 · +25.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Beer ShevaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.43 · −6.5% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Academico Viseu vs PortoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Akhmat vs Krylia SovetovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.90 · +10.5% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 18m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| New York Yankees vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 13m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sampdoria vs Juve StabiaFootball · Serie B | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Boston River vs Cerro MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.85 · −7.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| New York Liberty (w) vs Chicago Sky (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 85-66 | WON |
| AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead EaglesFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.38 · +3.8% CLV | 5:2 | WON |
| Fiorentina vs FrosinoneFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.63 · −5.2% CLV | 0:3 | LOST |
| Al Shahaniya vs Al SailiyaFootball · Stars League | first seen 46h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 2.85 · −12.3% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Kortrijk vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.92 · −12.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.35 · −12.9% CLV | 1:0 | LOST |
| Trencin vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.20 · +3.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs ProstejovFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 3.20 · −3.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
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