Utrecht vs PSV
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
- Score
- 1:6
· first seen 10h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht vs PSVFootball · Premier League | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 1:6 | WON |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 1:3 | WON |
| Hanshin Tigers vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 4:1 | WON |
| Saitama Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 8:4 | WON |
| Queensland Lions vs Peninsula PowerFootball · Queensland. National Premier League. Quarter-finals | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.78 · +6.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Phoenix Rising vs Indy ElevenFootball · USL | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| San Diego vs LA GalaxyFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.68 · −2.3% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| Las Vegas Lights vs Charleston BatteryFootball · USL | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.02 · −1.5% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Portland Timbers vs AustinFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.57 · −7.6% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| New Mexico United vs FC San AntonioFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.03 · −3.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun UnitedFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.62 · −1.8% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Minnesota United vs Orlando CityFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.73 · −2.3% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Houston Dynamo vs San Jose EarthquakesFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Nashville vs CincinnatiFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 4:0 | WON |
| Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver WhitecapsFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Oakland Roots vs Orange CountyFootball · USL | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Union Omaha vs New York CosmosFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| New York Yankees vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria SalvadorFootball · Serie A | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Union Espanola vs Rangers TalcaFootball · Serie B | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.95 · +1.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Jaguares Cordoba vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 23m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Cavalry vs VancouverFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.47 · −6.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Guastatoya vs MarquenseFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.57 · +2.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.98 · −4.3% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
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