Prishtina vs Llapi
Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 4-0
· first seen 9m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 9m before
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HomeMatch Winner
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Basketball · VBA
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Football · League 1
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AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2. Group 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12h before
Football · 1st Division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 11h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prishtina vs LlapiFootball · Superliga | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Cartagines vs HeredianoFootball · Premier Division | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 2.25 · +17.2% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Napoli vs ComoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.55 · +8.5% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| Botev Plovdiv vs Levski SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.70 · +11.1% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Manchester United vs Ipswich TownFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Sogndal vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Real Madrid vs MalagaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.11 · +0.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Rapid Vienna vs SturmFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Telstar vs AjaxFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Spartak Moscow vs OrenburgFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.37 · +1.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| NSI Runavik vs AB ArgirFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Hatta Dubai vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Levanger vs LorenskogFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.47 · +13.1% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Tre Fiori vs PennarossaFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Farul Constanta vs BotosaniFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.90 · +1.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Chelsea vs BrightonFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Feyenoord vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Ha Noi vs Saigon HeatBasketball · VBA | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 90:82 | WON |
| Arka Gdynia vs Polonia BytomFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| AIK vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League | first seen 12h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.60 · +18.5% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Rodina Moscow vs BaltikaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 12h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 1.98 · −12.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Honefoss vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 12h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Hillerod vs HobroFootball · 1st Division | first seen 11h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| FC Gwangju vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
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