FCSB vs UTA Arad
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.50 · −11.8% CLV
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 2m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7153
7148 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−516.5u
over 7148u staked
Yield
−7.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1481 | 55.4%53%–58% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2564 | 60.1%58%–62% | −6.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2584 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 14 | 85.7%60%–96% | −5.0pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+10pp
18
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3969 | 58.5% | −344.7u |
| Double chance | 3184 | 67.8% | −171.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB vs UTA AradFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.50 · −11.8% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.48 · +2.1% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Nafta Lendava vs MariborFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.47 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 4-7 | LOST |
| Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos PiraeusFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.30 · −11.6% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Osijek vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Cambuur vs TwenteFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 1:4 | WON |
| Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar vs Al-Faisaly HarmahFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| Kifisia vs AEK AthensFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Spartak Trnava vs ZilinaFootball · Superleague | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.75 · −3.8% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Al Jahra vs Al Arabi KuwaitFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga UlyanovskFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 11-1 | LOST |
| Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 49m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-6 | WON |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 7-0 | WON |
| Mallorca vs CeutaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Batumi vs SpaeriFootball · National League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.78 · +9.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| New York Yankees vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atlanta Braves vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Arezzo vs PalermoFootball · Serie B | first seen 9m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.05 · +1.5% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Atromitos Athens vs PAOKFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Karmiotissa vs PafosFootball · Division 1 | first seen 9m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.22 · −0.8% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
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