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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7148

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7153

7148 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−516.5u

over 7148u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148155.4%53%–58%53%–58%−0.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256460.1%58%–62%58%–62%−6.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258468.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1485.7%60%–96%60%–96%−5.0pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+10pp

18

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7148

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396958.5%−344.7u
Double chance318467.8%−171.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7153 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Sheffield United vs Bolton Wanderers

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 45m before

Northampton Town vs Crawley Town

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 45m before

Chesterfield vs Gillingham

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 45m before

Bradford City vs Cambridge United

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 4.30 · +126.3% CLV
Score
3:3

2026-09-01 · first seen 45m before

Salford City vs Newport County

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.50 · +5.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 45m before

Halifax Town vs Hartlepool United

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 45m before

Zurich vs Young Boys

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-01 · first seen 30m before

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.73 · +13.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 0m before

Al Tadamon vs Al Salmiyah

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.68 · +3.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 1h before

Rapperswil-Jona vs Kriens

Football · Challenge League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Wolfsberger AC vs LASK

Football · Bundesliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.73 · +23.6% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Bocholt vs Bonner

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Nyonnais vs Winterthur

Football · Challenge League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Frederikshavn vs Rodovre

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.25 · +18.4% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Boluspor vs Keciorengucu Ankara

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 13m before

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Deportivo

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 1h before

Tigre vs Barracas Central

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 15m before

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
11-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 42m before

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
17-3

2026-08-31 · first seen 42m before

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Academia Anzoategui

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 32m before

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 25h before

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.13 · +2.7% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

Benfica vs Estoril

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Sheffield United vs Bolton WanderersFootball · Championship2026-09-01first seen 45m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV3-2WON
Northampton Town vs Crawley TownFootball · League 22026-09-01first seen 45m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV1-1LOST
Chesterfield vs GillinghamFootball · League 22026-09-01first seen 45m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV1-1LOST
Bradford City vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 12026-09-01first seen 45m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 4.30 · +126.3% CLV3:3LOST
Salford City vs Newport CountyFootball · League 22026-09-01first seen 45m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.50 · +5.6% CLV2-1WON
Halifax Town vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-01first seen 45m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV1-0LOST
Zurich vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague2026-09-01first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.58 · −1.2% CLV2-4WON
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01first seen 0m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.73 · +13.8% CLV3-0WON
Al Tadamon vs Al SalmiyahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.68 · +3.1% CLV0-2WON
Rapperswil-Jona vs KriensFootball · Challenge League2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV1-1LOST
Kruger United vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV0-4WON
Wolfsberger AC vs LASKFootball · Bundesliga2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.73 · +23.6% CLV1-3WON
Bocholt vs BonnerFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV2-2LOST
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV3-0WON
Nyonnais vs WinterthurFootball · Challenge League2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Frederikshavn vs RodovreIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-01first seen 43m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.25 · +18.4% CLV5-1WON
Boluspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 12026-09-01first seen 13m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV0-2WON
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A2026-09-01first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Tigre vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League2026-09-01first seen 15m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV0-0LOST
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-08-31first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—11-1LOST
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-08-31first seen 42m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—17-3LOST
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Academia AnzoateguiFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-08-31first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV3-0WON
Washington Nationals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-08-31first seen 25h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—6-2WON
Barcelona vs Rayo VallecanoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-31first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.13 · +2.7% CLV5-2WON
Benfica vs EstorilFootball · Premier League2026-08-31first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV2-1WON

2476–2500 of 3969· 2320 won / 1644 lost · −344.7u · −8.7% yield · of 7153 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.