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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Hohenems vs Imst

Football · Regional League. West

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Vojvodina Novi Sad vs IMT Novi Beograd

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Wienerberg

Football · Regional League. East

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.15 · −14.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

LSK Kvinner (w) vs Lyn (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Ajka vs Aqvital Csakvar

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Tempo Prague vs Slavoj Vysehrad

Football · League 4

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.63 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Ostrov vs Rapid Psary

Football · League 4

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.07 · +3.5% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Hvezda vs Chomutov

Football · League 4

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Aritma Prague

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV
Score
7-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Gil Vicente vs Maritimo

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.90 · −2.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Slany vs Meteor Prague VIII

Football · League 4

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Kraluv Dvur vs FA Povltavska

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

CFR Cluj vs Botosani

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45from 3.35 · +4.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Horovice vs Okula Nyrsko

Football · League 4

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

HB Torshavn vs AB Argir

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Sevilla vs Barcelona

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-19 · first seen 10m before

Cray Wanderers vs Maidstone United

Football · Cup. Qualifying stage

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 7.00 · +389.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Colchester United vs Cheltenham Town

Football · League 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.65 · +2.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Oulun Karpat vs Vaasan Sport

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Torquay United vs Stoneham

Football · Cup. Qualifying stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.07 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Kristiansund vs Rosenborg

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Vikingur Gota vs 07 Vestur

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Gateshead vs Southend United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-6

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Reading vs Notts County

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Hohenems vs ImstFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV2-0WON
Vojvodina Novi Sad vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV1-1LOST
SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV WienerbergFootball · Regional League. East2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.15 · −14.8% CLV3-0WON
LSK Kvinner (w) vs Lyn (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-19first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV2-3WON
Ajka vs Aqvital CsakvarFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV1-0WON
Tempo Prague vs Slavoj VysehradFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.63 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Ostrov vs Rapid PsaryFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.07 · +3.5% CLV1-3WON
Hvezda vs ChomutovFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV1-3WON
Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Aritma PragueFootball · League 32026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV7-0WON
Gil Vicente vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.90 · −2.6% CLV1-1LOST
Slany vs Meteor Prague VIIIFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV0-2LOST
Kraluv Dvur vs FA PovltavskaFootball · League 32026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV2-1WON
CFR Cluj vs BotosaniFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45from 3.35 · +4.7% CLV3-1LOST
Horovice vs Okula NyrskoFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
HB Torshavn vs AB ArgirFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Athletic Bilbao vs AlavesFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV0-0LOST
Sevilla vs BarcelonaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-19first seen 10m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV1:3WON
Cray Wanderers vs Maidstone UnitedFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 7.00 · +389.5% CLV1-1LOST
Colchester United vs Cheltenham TownFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.65 · +2.8% CLV1-1LOST
Oulun Karpat vs Vaasan SportIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV3-2WON
Torquay United vs StonehamFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.07 · 0.0% CLV6-1WON
Kristiansund vs RosenborgFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV1-3WON
Vikingur Gota vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV3-3LOST
Gateshead vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV1-6WON
Reading vs Notts CountyFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV2-0WON

226–250 of 3250· 1912 won / 1334 lost · −278.6u · −8.6% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.