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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Rayong vs Prachuap

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 32m before

Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

FC Roskilde vs VSK Aarhus

Football · 2 division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Metz vs Rodez

Football · Ligue 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Preston North End vs Blackburn Rovers

Football · Championship

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 49m before

Follo vs Tromsdalen

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

Holstein Kiel vs Nurnberg

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West Coast

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0:5

2026-09-05 · first seen 4h before

Cheonan City vs Hwaseong

Football · K League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 4h before

Persik Kediri vs Dewa United

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita Tangerang

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Peninsula Power vs Moreton City Excelsior

Football · Queensland. National Premier League. Semi-finals

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

South Hobart vs Devonport City

Football · Tasmania. National Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU Quito

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 32m before

Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 32m before

Platense vs Deportivo Riestra

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Comerciantes vs Ayacucho

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 2h before

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-04 · first seen 1h before

Bray Wanderers vs Cork City

Football · Division 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:0

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Altrincham vs Eastleigh

Football · National league

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Holywell Town vs Trefelin

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-04 · first seen 46m before

Defensores Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-04 · first seen 31m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Rayong vs PrachuapFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0LOST
Chelyabinsk vs Spartak KostromaFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-09-05first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1WON
FC Roskilde vs VSK AarhusFootball · 2 division2026-09-05first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0LOST
Metz vs RodezFootball · Ligue 22026-09-05first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—4-1WON
Preston North End vs Blackburn RoversFootball · Championship2026-09-05first seen 44m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1LOST
Stoke City vs Charlton AthleticFootball · Championship2026-09-05first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—4-0WON
Shanghai Port vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 49m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-0WON
Follo vs TromsdalenFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-09-05first seen 14m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-0LOST
Holstein Kiel vs NurnbergFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-05first seen 14m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-2WON
Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 14m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-2WON
Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0:5LOST
Cheonan City vs HwaseongFootball · K League 22026-09-05first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Persik Kediri vs Dewa UnitedFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-1WON
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita TangerangFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Peninsula Power vs Moreton City ExcelsiorFootball · Queensland. National Premier League. Semi-finals2026-09-05first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-2WON
South Hobart vs Devonport CityFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League2026-09-05first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—5-1LOST
Tecnico Universitario vs LDU QuitoFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-3WON
Orsomarso vs Real CartagenaFootball · Serie B2026-09-05first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-1LOST
Platense vs Deportivo RiestraFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-1WON
Comerciantes vs AyacuchoFootball · Division 22026-09-04first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—5-1LOST
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs SarmientoFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-2WON
Bray Wanderers vs Cork CityFootball · Division 12026-09-04first seen 46m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1:0LOST
Altrincham vs EastleighFootball · National league2026-09-04first seen 46m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-1LOST
Holywell Town vs TrefelinFootball · Premier League2026-09-04first seen 46m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-1WON
Defensores Belgrano vs Racing CordobaFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-04first seen 31m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-0LOST

201–225 of 1986· 1361 won / 625 lost · −84.8u · −4.3% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.