Redcar Athletic vs Macclesfield
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · League 4
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · U19. Primavera 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 2. Championship group
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 2. Championship group
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 3. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Superleague 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redcar Athletic vs MacclesfieldFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Bangor vs PortadownFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Peterborough United vs Doncaster RoversFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Dynamo MalzeniceFootball · League 2 | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs FreiburgFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Krumvir vs MSK BreclavFootball · League 4 | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Voitsberg vs SV Austria SalzburgFootball · League 1 | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Hamburger vs KölnFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 1 | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Salernitana U19 vs Perugia U19Football · U19. Primavera 2 | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-6 | LOST |
| PK Keski-Uusimaa vs RoPSFootball · League 2. Championship group | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Katwijk vs De TreffersFootball · Division 2 | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Tukums 2000 2 vs RezekneFootball · League 1 | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Vasteras vs Malmo FFFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Brommapojkarna vs GoteborgFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| SalPa vs Tampere UnitedFootball · League 2. Championship group | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 6-4 | LOST |
| Politehnica UTM vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Atletico Fenix vs Colon MontevideoFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Carrarese vs BeneventoFootball · Serie B | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| PEPO Lappeenranta vs KiffenFootball · League 3. Group A | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Fernando de la Mora vs ResistenciaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Atromitos Athens vs KifisiaFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0:2 | LOST |
| Audace Cerignola vs CasertanaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1:0 | WON |
| Paris FC vs StrasbourgFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.