Needham Market vs Braintree Town
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-3
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague. Championship Group
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · U19. Primavera 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market vs Braintree TownFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| VPS Vaasa vs KuPS KuopioFootball · Superleague. Championship Group | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Debreceni VSC vs VasasFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2:4 | LOST |
| Chesterfield vs York CityFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Nomme United vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Gagra vs MeshakhteFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Barnet vs Fleetwood TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Newcastle vs Hull CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Northampton Town vs RotherhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Monopoli U19 vs Pescara U19Football · U19. Primavera 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Partick Thistle vs Raith RoversFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Accrington Stanley vs Newport CountyFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| St Johnstone vs FalkirkFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Merthyr Town vs Truro CityFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| East Fife vs MontroseFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Bedford Town vs Kings Lynn TownFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Exeter City vs Tranmere RoversFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Eastleigh vs Carlisle UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 3.90+29029/102.90+2.90-0.34from 3.75 · −3.8% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Leuven vs La LouviereFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Hibernian vs AberdeenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.97 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Woking vs KidderminsterFootball · National league | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Leamington vs Gainsborough TrinityFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Emley vs Spennymoor TownFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Nagykanizsa vs FehervarFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.