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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Osnabruck vs Eintracht Braunschweig

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Cercle Brugge vs Gent

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Greuther Furth vs Heidenheim

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai Thani

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-09-06 · first seen 22m before

Birmingham City vs Wolverhampton

Football · Championship

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-06 · first seen 5h before

South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United

Football · Victoria. National Premier League. Quarter-finals

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.00 · −3.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Marquense vs Xelaju

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Atlas vs Atlante

Football · Liga MX

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31from 3.65 · −13.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 3h before

Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United

Football · USL

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United

Football · MLS

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV
Score
5-4

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa

Football · Premier Division

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 2h before

LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution

Football · MLS

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles

Football · MLS

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Marathon vs Estrella Roja

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Malacateco vs Suchitepequez

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-06 · first seen 1h before

Philadelphia Union vs Montreal

Football · MLS

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Detroit City vs Hartford Athletic

Football · USL

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

San Luis Quillota vs Cobreloa

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 59m before

Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro

Football · Serie A

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 59m before

Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Comunicaciones

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 29m before

Juventude RS vs Atletico Goianiense

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 29m before

Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo Wanderers

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 29m before

ASO Chlef vs CR Belouizdad

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Boca Juniors

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Osnabruck vs Eintracht BraunschweigFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-06first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—3-1LOST
Cercle Brugge vs GentFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-3WON
Greuther Furth vs HeidenheimFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-06first seen 22m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-1WON
Lamphun Warrior vs Uthai ThaniFootball · Premier League2026-09-06first seen 22m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-4LOST
Birmingham City vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship2026-09-06first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1:1WON
South Melbourne vs Heidelberg UnitedFootball · Victoria. National Premier League. Quarter-finals2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.00 · −3.2% CLV2-1WON
Marquense vs XelajuFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-06first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-4WON
Atlas vs AtlanteFootball · Liga MX2026-09-06first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31from 3.65 · −13.1% CLV1-1WON
Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico UnitedFootball · USL2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-2WON
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota UnitedFootball · MLS2026-09-06first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV5-4WON
Alajuelense vs Deportivo SaprissaFootball · Premier Division2026-09-06first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-2WON
LA Galaxy vs New England RevolutionFootball · MLS2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-1LOST
Real Salt Lake vs Los AngelesFootball · MLS2026-09-06first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-2WON
Marathon vs Estrella RojaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—5-0WON
Malacateco vs SuchitepequezFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-06first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON
Philadelphia Union vs MontrealFootball · MLS2026-09-05first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2:0LOST
Detroit City vs Hartford AthleticFootball · USL2026-09-05first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
San Luis Quillota vs CobreloaFootball · Serie B2026-09-05first seen 59m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—4-2WON
Sao Paulo vs Atletico MineiroFootball · Serie A2026-09-05first seen 59m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-0LOST
Deportivo Mixco vs CSD ComunicacionesFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-05first seen 29m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-1WON
Juventude RS vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B2026-09-05first seen 29m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-2WON
Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo WanderersFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 29m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
ASO Chlef vs CR BelouizdadFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV3-3WON
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo MoronFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-05first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON

101–125 of 1986· 1361 won / 625 lost · −84.8u · −4.3% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.