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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Voluntari vs Universitatea Cluj

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Juventus U23 vs Albinoleffe

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-5

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Seongnam vs Hwaseong

Football · K League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Macva Sabac vs Mladost Lucani

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Borneo vs Bali United

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Viktoria Zizkov vs Trinec

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Ansan Greeners vs FC Cheongju

Football · K League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 44m before

Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen Munster

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:0

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Club America vs Chivas Guadalajara

Football · Liga MX

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic

Football · USL

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive

Football · USL

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Real Espana vs Motagua

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 41m before

Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders

Football · MLS

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 41m before

Melgar vs Sport Boys

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 26m before

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul

Football · Liga MX

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 11m before

Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs New Mexico United

Football · USL

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 11m before

Real Sireti vs Milsami

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte

Football · Premier League. Matches for the right to play in the Copa Sudamericana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 38m before

Deportivo Genesis vs Olancho

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 38m before

Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
7.80+68034/56.80+6.80-0.15from 7.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Maringa vs Botafogo Paraiba

Football · Serie C

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Mirassol vs Botafogo RJ

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Voluntari vs Universitatea ClujFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-2WON
Juventus U23 vs AlbinoleffeFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-20first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—3-5WON
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon SzczecinFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-2LOST
Seongnam vs HwaseongFootball · K League 22026-09-20first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-2WON
Incheon United vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Macva Sabac vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-1WON
Borneo vs Bali UnitedFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0WON
Viktoria Zizkov vs TrinecFootball · League 22026-09-20first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-0LOST
Ansan Greeners vs FC CheongjuFootball · K League 22026-09-20first seen 44m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-3WON
Waldhof Mannheim vs Preussen MunsterFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-20first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1:0LOST
Atletico Madrid vs Real MadridFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-20first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-1LOST
Club America vs Chivas GuadalajaraFootball · Liga MX2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-2WON
Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford AthleticFootball · USL2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-1WON
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-3WON
Real Espana vs MotaguaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-20first seen 41m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-0WON
Colorado Rapids vs Seattle SoundersFootball · MLS2026-09-20first seen 41m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-3WON
Melgar vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 26m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
Monterrey vs Cruz AzulFootball · Liga MX2026-09-20first seen 11m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0LOST
Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs New Mexico UnitedFootball · USL2026-09-20first seen 11m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-0WON
Real Sireti vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2:1LOST
Guayaquil City vs Leones del NorteFootball · Premier League. Matches for the right to play in the Copa Sudamericana2026-09-19first seen 38m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-1WON
Deportivo Genesis vs OlanchoFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-19first seen 38m before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-0WON
Sporting Cristal vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League2026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived7.80+68034/56.80+6.80-0.15from 7.80 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Maringa vs Botafogo ParaibaFootball · Serie C2026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-0WON
Mirassol vs Botafogo RJFootball · Serie A2026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-0WON

76–100 of 2972· 2026 won / 946 lost · −143.0u · −4.8% yield · of 6222 total

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