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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Tigre vs Rosario Central

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Sarmiento vs Belgrano

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Eibar (w) vs Badalona (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Hoffenheim 2 vs Fortuna Koln

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

AB Argir vs B-68 Toftir

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Eupen

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 46m before

La Louviere vs Kortrijk

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 46m before

Arouca vs Santa Clara

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 31m before

Olympiacos Nicosia vs Omonia May 29

Football · Division 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-09-13 · first seen 31m before

KF Drita vs SC Gjilani

Football · Superliga

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 31m before

Amedspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 31m before

Sutjeska Niksic vs Decic Tuzi

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 31m before

Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution

Football · MLS

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-09-13 · first seen 32m before

Macara vs Emelec

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31from 3.70 · −11.9% CLV
Score
1:0

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:2

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhine

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1m before

Sloga Doboj vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1m before

Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1m before

Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1m before

Ospitaletto vs Juventus U23

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 3h before

Iberia 1999 vs Spaeri

Football · National League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 3h before

Al Kahrabaa vs Al Minaa

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 3h before

Junkeren vs Skeid

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 3h before

River Plate Montevideo vs Atletico Fenix

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Tigre vs Rosario CentralFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1LOST
Sarmiento vs BelgranoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV1-1WON
Eibar (w) vs Badalona (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-4WON
Hoffenheim 2 vs Fortuna KolnFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-13first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-2WON
AB Argir vs B-68 ToftirFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Hunedoara vs Universitatea CraiovaFootball · League 12026-09-13first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-1WON
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs EupenFootball · Division 22026-09-13first seen 46m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-2LOST
La Louviere vs KortrijkFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 46m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-0WON
Arouca vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 31m before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2LOST
Olympiacos Nicosia vs Omonia May 29Football · Division 12026-09-13first seen 31m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-3WON
KF Drita vs SC GjilaniFootball · Superliga2026-09-13first seen 31m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
Amedspor vs Istanbul BasaksehirFootball · Superleague2026-09-13first seen 31m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—5-0LOST
Sutjeska Niksic vs Decic TuziFootball · League 12026-09-13first seen 31m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-0WON
Chicago Fire vs New England RevolutionFootball · MLS2026-09-13first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1:2LOST
Macara vs EmelecFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31from 3.70 · −11.9% CLV1:0WON
Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La PlataFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2:2WON
Elbasani vs Egnatia RrogozhineFootball · Superleague2026-09-13first seen 1m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1LOST
Sloga Doboj vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Zulte Waregem vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Getafe vs Deportivo La CorunaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-13first seen 1m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Ospitaletto vs Juventus U23Football · Serie C. Group A2026-09-13first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-0WON
Iberia 1999 vs SpaeriFootball · National League2026-09-13first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-0WON
Al Kahrabaa vs Al MinaaFootball · Superleague2026-09-13first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-1WON
Junkeren vs SkeidFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-09-13first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
River Plate Montevideo vs Atletico FenixFootball · Segunda Division2026-09-13first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1LOST

776–800 of 3183· 2158 won / 1025 lost · −170.8u · −5.4% yield · of 7146 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.