Leeds vs Newcastle
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4:1
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superliga
X2Double Chance
· first seen 52m before
Football · MLS
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds vs NewcastleFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4:1 | LOST |
| Atletico Grau vs Alianza AtleticoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.05 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union ComercioFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Rayo Zuliano vs PortuguesaFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Arzignano Valchiampo vs Desenzano CalvinaFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Coban Imperial vs CSD ComunicacionesFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy vs Atletico de RafaelaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Mirassol vs Vitoria SalvadorFootball · Serie A | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Trento vs Union BresciaFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Novara vs PergoletteseFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Mosta vs Sliema WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Patronato Parana vs TemperleyFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| La Serena vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Sport Boys vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Al Karkh vs DuhokFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Naft Maysan vs Al TalabaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Argentino Quilmes vs Deportivo MerloFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| San Marcos Arica vs Curico UnidoFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Flandria vs Deportivo CamionerosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Banga Gargzdai vs TransinvestFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1:3 | WON |
| KF Ballkani vs KF DukagjiniFootball · Superliga | first seen 52m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| San Diego vs Philadelphia UnionFootball · MLS | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.