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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Al Masry vs Al Ittihad Alexandria

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 5.00 · +163.2% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-15 · first seen 4h before

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-09-15 · first seen 4h before

Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-15 · first seen 4h before

Hallescher vs Carl Zeiss Jena

Football · Regional League. North-East

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-15 · first seen 4h before

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-15 · first seen 4h before

Crotone vs Inter Milan U23

Football · Serie C. Group C

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0:2

2026-09-15 · first seen 4h before

Wadi Degla vs Al Mokawloon

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0:2

2026-09-15 · first seen 1h before

Veles Moscow vs Sochi

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Al Jolan vs Newroz

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-14 · first seen 2h before

Shinnik vs Ural

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 2h before

Universitatea Cluj vs Otelul Galati

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Mladost Donja Gorica vs Buducnost Podgorica

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Lokomotíva Zvolen

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Avai vs Vila Nova

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-15 · first seen 27m before

Talaa El Geish vs Smouha

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 52m before

Meshakhte vs FC Rustavi

Football · National League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 5h before

Oleksandria vs Victoria Sumy

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 5h before

Cucuta Deportivo vs Millonarios

Football · Serie A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 32m before

Brusque vs Internacional Limeira

Football · Serie C

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 32m before

Universitario Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero

Football · Primera division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 17m before

Godoy Cruz vs Colon Santa Fe

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Lobos UPNFM vs Atletico Choloma

Football · Liga Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Moreirense vs Maritimo

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Al Masry vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 5.00 · +163.2% CLV1:1WON
Rayo Vallecano vs EspanyolFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-15first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2:1LOST
Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs VerlFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1:1WON
Hallescher vs Carl Zeiss JenaFootball · Regional League. North-East2026-09-15first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2:0LOST
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel JerusalemFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2:0LOST
Crotone vs Inter Milan U23Football · Serie C. Group C2026-09-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0:2LOST
Wadi Degla vs Al MokawloonFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0:2LOST
Veles Moscow vs SochiFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-09-14first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2LOST
Hapoel Haifa vs Bnei SakhninFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-1WON
Al Jolan vs NewrozFootball · Superleague2026-09-14first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-2WON
Shinnik vs UralFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-09-14first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-1WON
Universitatea Cluj vs Otelul GalatiFootball · League 12026-09-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-0LOST
Mladost Donja Gorica vs Buducnost PodgoricaFootball · League 12026-09-14first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-2LOST
ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Lokomotíva ZvolenFootball · League 22026-09-14first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—4-0WON
Avai vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B2026-09-15first seen 27m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1:1WON
Talaa El Geish vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 52m before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-1LOST
Meshakhte vs FC RustaviFootball · National League2026-09-14first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1WON
Oleksandria vs Victoria SumyFootball · League 12026-09-14first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0WON
Cucuta Deportivo vs MillonariosFootball · Serie A2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2WON
San Martin Tucuman vs AgropecuarioFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—3-0LOST
Brusque vs Internacional LimeiraFootball · Serie C2026-09-13first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
Universitario Vinto vs Independiente PetroleroFootball · Primera division2026-09-13first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-1LOST
Godoy Cruz vs Colon Santa FeFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
Lobos UPNFM vs Atletico CholomaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-13first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0LOST
Moreirense vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2:0LOST

726–750 of 3183· 2158 won / 1025 lost · −170.8u · −5.4% yield · of 7146 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.