San Luis Quillota vs Antofagasta
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2:1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Segunda Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota vs AntofagastaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Racing United vs Arnett GardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Rangers Talca vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| America Mineiro vs Sao BernardoFootball · Serie B | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Molynes United FC vs Treasure BeachFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Benjamin Aceval vs Guarani ParaguariFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Villarreal vs BetisFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Waterford vs Derry CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Sligo Rovers vs GalwayFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna DüsseldorfFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Red Star vs MetzFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| FC Dundalk vs Saint Patrick's AthleticFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Shelbourne vs Drogheda UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Defensores Belgrano vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 3.80+28014/52.80+2.80-0.36from 3.80 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Celta B vs EibarFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Erbil vs Al KarmaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| FCSB vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Blackburn Rovers U21 vs Reading U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi HaifaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Ceramika Cleopatra vs National BankFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Tbilisi vs GagraFootball · National League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Norrby vs Varbergs BoISFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Orebro vs United NordicFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Mornar Bar vs OtrantFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.