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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3945

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3946

3945 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−214.0u

over 3945u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73355.1%51%–59%51%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

842

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3945

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner194560.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9760.8%−9.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3946 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City

Football · K League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock Rovers

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 4h before

Ararat Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 5h before

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabira

Football · Primera division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 0m before

Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 29m before

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lugano

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 5h before

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-27 · first seen 59m before

Austria Vienna vs Braga

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 29m before

Partizan Beograd vs Getafe

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 59m before

SM Caen vs Bastia

Football · Ligue 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 44m before

Rijeka vs Midtjylland

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-27 · first seen 44m before

Chelsea vs Luton Town

Football · League Cup. Second round

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 4d 23h before

Borac Banja Luka vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 29m before

Thun vs Lech Poznan

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-27 · first seen 7h before

Brann vs PAOK

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-27 · first seen 6h before

Al Mokawloon vs Al Masry

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-27 · first seen 6h before

Hradec Kralove vs Panathinaikos

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-27 · first seen 6h before

Omonia Nicosia vs Sint-Truidense

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-2

2026-08-27 · first seen 6h before

Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia Bialystok

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-27 · first seen 5h before

Qarabag vs Twente

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-27 · first seen 5h before

Jablonec vs Rangers

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 5h before

Sitra vs Malkiya

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-27 · first seen 5h before

Celje vs Slovan Bratislava

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-26 · first seen 52m before

New Mexico United vs Lexington

Football · USL

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 1h before

El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Football · USL

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-27 · first seen 47m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan CityFootball · K League 22026-08-28first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0WON
KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock RoversFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0WON
Ararat Armenia vs Universitatea CraiovaFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-0LOST
Independiente Petrolero vs GuabiraFootball · Primera division2026-08-27first seen 0m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-1LOST
Ferencvaros vs TrabzonsporFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 29m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—4-0LOST
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs LuganoFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-1WON
Larne vs Lincoln Red ImpsFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 59m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-3LOST
Austria Vienna vs BragaFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 29m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-0WON
Partizan Beograd vs GetafeFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 59m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1LOST
SM Caen vs BastiaFootball · Ligue 32026-08-27first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-1LOST
Rijeka vs MidtjyllandFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 44m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-4WON
Chelsea vs Luton TownFootball · League Cup. Second round2026-08-27first seen 4d 23h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
Borac Banja Luka vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 29m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-1WON
Thun vs Lech PoznanFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 7h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-2WON
Brann vs PAOKFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 6h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—3-2LOST
Al Mokawloon vs Al MasryFootball · Premier League2026-08-27first seen 6h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-3WON
Hradec Kralove vs PanathinaikosFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 6h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-2WON
Omonia Nicosia vs Sint-TruidenseFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 6h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—4-2WON
Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2WON
Qarabag vs TwenteFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-4WON
Jablonec vs RangersFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-27first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0LOST
Sitra vs MalkiyaFootball · Premier League2026-08-27first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-0WON
Celje vs Slovan BratislavaFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg2026-08-26first seen 52m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-2LOST
New Mexico United vs LexingtonFootball · USL2026-08-27first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-1WON
El Paso Locomotive vs Pittsburgh RiverhoundsFootball · USL2026-08-27first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-1WON

676–700 of 2001· 1371 won / 630 lost · −86.1u · −4.3% yield · of 3946 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.