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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3944

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3945

3944 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−213.0u

over 3944u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73355.1%51%–59%51%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148962.3%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

841

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3944

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200068.5%−85.1u
Match winner194560.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3945 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal SFC

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV
Score
4:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Vikingur Gota vs HB Torshavn

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Kremser vs Horn

Football · Regional League. East

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Austria Lustenau vs WSG Tirol

Football · Bundesliga

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Tehran

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Yverdon Sport vs Wil 1900

Football · Challenge League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Football · Challenge League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Fremad Amager vs Thisted

Football · 2 division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ceramika Cleopatra

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Racing Santander vs Elche

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Nykobing vs FC Roskilde

Football · 2 division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Olympiacos Nicosia vs Nea Salamis

Football · Division 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Leiria vs Tondela

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.93 · −9.0% CLV
Score
0:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Pohronie vs Tatran Presov

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Sepahan vs Gol Gohar

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Paykan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Drenica vs KF Ballkani

Football · Superliga

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 2h before

ENPPI vs Wadi Degla

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2h before

Terengganu vs Selangor

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 1h before

Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City

Football · K League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV4:3WON
Vikingur Gota vs HB TorshavnFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-3WON
Kremser vs HornFootball · Regional League. East2026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1LOST
Austria Lustenau vs WSG TirolFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-4LOST
Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal TehranFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-0WON
Yverdon Sport vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League2026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyFootball · Challenge League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-1WON
Fremad Amager vs ThistedFootball · 2 division2026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-2WON
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ceramika CleopatraFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-3WON
Racing Santander vs ElcheFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—3-2WON
Nykobing vs FC RoskildeFootball · 2 division2026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-2WON
Olympiacos Nicosia vs Nea SalamisFootball · Division 12026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-3WON
Leiria vs TondelaFootball · Division 22026-08-28first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-0WON
Hibernians vs Zabbar St. PatrickFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-1WON
Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.93 · −9.0% CLV0:3WON
Wisla Plock vs Korona KielceFootball · Superleague2026-08-28first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-2WON
Pohronie vs Tatran PresovFootball · League 22026-08-28first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-1LOST
Sepahan vs Gol GoharFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams AzarFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-2LOST
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar KhorramabadFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-2WON
Paykan vs Esteghlal KhuzestanFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-0WON
Drenica vs KF BallkaniFootball · Superliga2026-08-28first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-2WON
ENPPI vs Wadi DeglaFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-3LOST
Terengganu vs SelangorFootball · Superleague2026-08-28first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0:3WON
Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan CityFootball · K League 22026-08-28first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0WON

651–675 of 2000· 1371 won / 629 lost · −85.1u · −4.3% yield · of 3945 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.