Corinthians SP vs Estudiantes La Plata
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1:1
· first seen 27m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League phase
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6d 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · League phase
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · League phase
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Women. Series A1. Semi-finals. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · USL. League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians SP vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim 2Football · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs SevillaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Thun vs ServetteFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Jonkopings Sodra vs AtvidabergsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Omonia Nicosia vs CeltaFootball · League phase | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Latina vs Guidonia MontecelioFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Torres vs PianeseFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pineto vs ForliFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Dubocica vs TeleoptikFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Atletico Mineiro vs Santos SPFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 6d 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Sloga Doboj vs Borac Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Ben Guerdane vs CS SfaxienFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zarzis vs US MonastirFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| El Gounah vs PetrojetFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Yenisey vs Arsenal TulaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Milan vs BenficaFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Sunderland vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1:0 | WON |
| Bahia (w) vs Corinthians SP (w)Football · Women. Series A1. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Sao Paulo vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41from 3.35 · −2.9% CLV | 1-1 | WON |
| Preussen Munster vs SaarbruckenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3:3 | WON |
| Union Omaha vs Spokane VelocityFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3:1 | WON |
| Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 6d before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Platense vs Fluminense RJFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 6d before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Tembetary vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.