Manchester City vs Norwich City
Football · League Cup. Third round
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1:0
· first seen 3d 21h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6927
6922 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.8%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−488.7u
over 6922u staked
Yield
−7.1%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 78 | 44.9%34%–56% | +0.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1404 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2504 | 60.3%58%–62% | −5.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2524 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 397 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.5pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 11 | 81.8%52%–95% | −8.8pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3819
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±115.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 144 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3788 | 58.6% | −326.1u |
| Double chance | 3139 | 67.9% | −162.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1126 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 535 | 64.7% | −36.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 363 | 60.3% | +35.7u |
| League 2 | 240 | 58.3% | −37.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 146 | 63.7% | −10.1u |
| Serie B | 142 | 59.9% | −15.5u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 106 | 54.3% | −20.6u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 106 | 64.2% | −5.9u |
| Serie A | 100 | 53.0% | −21.2u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6927 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League Cup. Third round
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3d 21h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · USL. League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Division 2. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League phase
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2d 10h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League phase
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie C. Group B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · League phase
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · League phase
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · League Cup. Third round
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3d 22h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Serie C. Group B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 41m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
Football · Division Nationale
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division Nationale
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division Nationale
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Cup. Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City vs Norwich CityFootball · League Cup. Third round | first seen 3d 21h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Inter FA vs FASFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Athletic Boise vs Charlotte IndependenceFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico UnitedFootball · USL | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 4-4 | WON |
| Eskilsminne vs TvaakersFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 4:2 | LOST |
| Levski Sofia vs SalzburgFootball · League phase | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0:1 | WON |
| Pro Vercelli vs AlcioneFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| Once Caldas vs Deportes TolimaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2d 10h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Deportivo Lara vs Union Atletico El VigiaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Levante vs Athletic BilbaoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41from 3.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Olympiacos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Perugia vs SpeziaFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Sturm vs RennaisFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo ZagrebFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Manchester United vs BrightonFootball · League Cup. Third round | first seen 3d 22h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Livorno vs VadoFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Vis Pesaro vs ReggianaFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Altrincham vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 41m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Orenburg vs KrasnodarFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Al Shorta Baghdad vs Al SeebFootball · Group stage | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Residence Walferdange vs Mondor-Les-BainsFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Victoria Rosport vs Etzella EttelbruckFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Progres Niederkorn vs Racing LuxembourgFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Atletico Progreso vs Nacional MontevideoFootball · Cup. Group stage | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| San Martin San Juan vs Tristan SuarezFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.