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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Universitatea Cluj vs Otelul Galati

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Mladost Donja Gorica vs Buducnost Podgorica

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Lokomotíva Zvolen

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Avai vs Vila Nova

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-09-15 · first seen 27m before

Talaa El Geish vs Smouha

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 52m before

Meshakhte vs FC Rustavi

Football · National League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 5h before

Oleksandria vs Victoria Sumy

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 5h before

Cucuta Deportivo vs Millonarios

Football · Serie A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

San Martin Tucuman vs Agropecuario

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 32m before

Brusque vs Internacional Limeira

Football · Serie C

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 32m before

Universitario Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero

Football · Primera division

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 17m before

Godoy Cruz vs Colon Santa Fe

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Lobos UPNFM vs Atletico Choloma

Football · Liga Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Moreirense vs Maritimo

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Leeds vs Newcastle

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 55m before

Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.05 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Rayo Zuliano vs Portuguesa

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Desenzano Calvina

Football · Serie C. Group A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Football · Serie A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Coban Imperial vs CSD Comunicaciones

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For Ever

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy vs Atletico de Rafaela

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Mirassol vs Vitoria Salvador

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Trento vs Union Brescia

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Universitatea Cluj vs Otelul GalatiFootball · League 12026-09-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-0LOST
Mladost Donja Gorica vs Buducnost PodgoricaFootball · League 12026-09-14first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-2LOST
ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Lokomotíva ZvolenFootball · League 22026-09-14first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—4-0WON
Avai vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B2026-09-15first seen 27m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1:1WON
Talaa El Geish vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 52m before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-1LOST
Meshakhte vs FC RustaviFootball · National League2026-09-14first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1WON
Oleksandria vs Victoria SumyFootball · League 12026-09-14first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0WON
Cucuta Deportivo vs MillonariosFootball · Serie A2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2WON
San Martin Tucuman vs AgropecuarioFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—3-0LOST
Brusque vs Internacional LimeiraFootball · Serie C2026-09-13first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
Universitario Vinto vs Independiente PetroleroFootball · Primera division2026-09-13first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-1LOST
Godoy Cruz vs Colon Santa FeFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 2m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
Lobos UPNFM vs Atletico CholomaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-13first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0LOST
Moreirense vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2:0LOST
Leeds vs NewcastleFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-14first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4:1LOST
Atletico Grau vs Alianza AtleticoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.05 · 0.0% CLV3-1LOST
Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union ComercioFootball · Division 22026-09-13first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-0LOST
Rayo Zuliano vs PortuguesaFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-1WON
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Desenzano CalvinaFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-13first seen 56m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-3WON
Coban Imperial vs CSD ComunicacionesFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-13first seen 56m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-2WON
Atletico Mitre vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV0-0WON
Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy vs Atletico de RafaelaFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-13first seen 56m before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—2-1WON
Mirassol vs Vitoria SalvadorFootball · Serie A2026-09-13first seen 56m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-2WON
Trento vs Union BresciaFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-0WON

526–550 of 2972· 2026 won / 946 lost · −143.0u · −4.8% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.