Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 32m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3920
3919 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.5u
over 3919u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1481 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1496 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
816
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1989 | 68.5% | −85.0u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3920 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera C Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 28m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 28m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Liga Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · MLS
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Tucuman vs BelgranoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| Nublense vs Deportes ConcepcionFootball · Serie A | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Defensores Cambaceres vs Deportivo ParaguayoFootball · Primera C Metropolitana | first seen 28m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Deportes Limache vs Everton VMFootball · Serie A | first seen 28m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Guayaquil City vs LDU QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Genesis vs MarathonFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay RowdiesFootball · USL | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Guarani Campinas vs BrusqueFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Amazonas vs Ypiranga ErechimFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Figueirense vs Atletico MaranhaoFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Seattle Sounders vs Chicago FireFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Real Santander vs Internacional PalmiraFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Paysandu vs MaringaFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Floresta vs ItuanoFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Anapolis vs Santa Cruz RecifeFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Caxias vs Internacional LimeiraFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Girona vs Las PalmasFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Torreense vs VizelaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Deportivo Tigres vs Universitario TarijaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sevilla vs Atletico MadridFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Cukaricki vs Vojvodina Novi SadFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-5 | LOST |
| PEC Zwolle vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Patriotas BoyacaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Ciudad Bolivar vs Defensores BelgranoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.