Grosseto vs Campobasso
Football · Serie C. Group B
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2:2
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie C. Group B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · USL. League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. North-East
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosseto vs CampobassoFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| Bristol City vs Lincoln CityFootball · Championship | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Carlisle United vs Forest Green RoversFootball · National league | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.92 · +1.1% CLV | 1-1 | WON |
| Boston United vs WokingFootball · National league | first seen 42m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Worthing vs HornchurchFootball · National league | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Truro City vs SalisburyFootball · National League. South | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Korona Kielce vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs Al GharafaFootball · Group stage | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Greenville Triumph SC vs Corpus ChristiFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Zwickau vs VSG AltglienickeFootball · Regional League. North-East | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Varnamo vs Osters IFFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Jezero vs BokeljFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Picerno vs CataniaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Asyut Petroleum vs FutureFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| San Luis Quillota vs AntofagastaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2:1 | WON |
| Racing United vs Arnett GardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Rangers Talca vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| America Mineiro vs Sao BernardoFootball · Serie B | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Molynes United FC vs Treasure BeachFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Benjamin Aceval vs Guarani ParaguariFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Villarreal vs BetisFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Waterford vs Derry CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Sligo Rovers vs GalwayFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna DüsseldorfFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.