Sloga Doboj vs Borac Banja Luka
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · League phase
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · League phase
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Women. Series A1. Semi-finals. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · USL. League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · National league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · League phase
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Regional League. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sloga Doboj vs Borac Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Ben Guerdane vs CS SfaxienFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zarzis vs US MonastirFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| El Gounah vs PetrojetFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Yenisey vs Arsenal TulaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Milan vs BenficaFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Sunderland vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · League phase | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1:0 | WON |
| Bahia (w) vs Corinthians SP (w)Football · Women. Series A1. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Sao Paulo vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41from 3.35 · −2.9% CLV | 1-1 | WON |
| Preussen Munster vs SaarbruckenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3:3 | WON |
| Union Omaha vs Spokane VelocityFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3:1 | WON |
| Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 6d before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Platense vs Fluminense RJFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 6d before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Tembetary vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Foggia vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Group C | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Barletta vs SalernitanaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Scafatese vs MonopoliFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Cavese vs SorrentoFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Bari vs PotenzaFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Ballymena United vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Harrogate Town vs FyldeFootball · National league | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Limavady United vs BangorFootball · Premier League | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Wealdstone vs Halifax TownFootball · National league | first seen 42m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Ararat Armenia vs Sparta PragueFootball · League phase | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1:4 | WON |
| Eintracht Norderstedt vs HSC HannoverFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3:3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.