Altrincham vs Hartlepool United
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 41m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 41m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
Football · Division Nationale
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division Nationale
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division Nationale
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Cup. Group stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 20h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 21m before
Football · Division 2. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 21m before
Football · Division 2. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League phase
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6d 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 41m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Orenburg vs KrasnodarFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Al Shorta Baghdad vs Al SeebFootball · Group stage | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Residence Walferdange vs Mondor-Les-BainsFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Victoria Rosport vs Etzella EttelbruckFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Progres Niederkorn vs Racing LuxembourgFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Atletico Progreso vs Nacional MontevideoFootball · Cup. Group stage | first seen 20h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| San Martin San Juan vs Tristan SuarezFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylia SovetovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Baltika vs Zenit SPbFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 36m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Sollentuna vs Enkopings SKFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 21m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Gefle vs ArlandaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 21m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| IF Karlstad vs FBK KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart 2Football · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Corinthians SP vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim 2Football · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs SevillaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Thun vs ServetteFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Jonkopings Sodra vs AtvidabergsFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Omonia Nicosia vs CeltaFootball · League phase | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Latina vs Guidonia MontecelioFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Torres vs PianeseFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pineto vs ForliFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Dubocica vs TeleoptikFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Atletico Mineiro vs Santos SPFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 6d 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
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