Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki
Football · Superleague. Championship Group
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague. Championship Group
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague. Relegation Group
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 33m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 33m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Regional League. North-East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Quarter-finals. Second Leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · League phase
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gnistan vs HJK HelsinkiFootball · Superleague. Championship Group | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Mosul vs Al Naft BaghdadFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Haka vs Klubi 04Football · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| JaPS vs EIF EkenasFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| SJK Seinajoki vs MariehamnFootball · Superleague. Relegation Group | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| USM Khenchela vs ES Ben AknounFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Neftekhimik vs UralFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| JS El Biar vs JS SaouraFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Kyzyl-Zhar vs KaisarFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Chelyabinsk vs UfaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Jong AZ Alkmaar vs FC VolendamFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak KostromaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Belschina Bobruisk vs MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Transport United vs RTCFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zhetysu vs Kaspiy AktauFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Dalian K'un City vs Ningbo ProfessionalFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Puskas Academy vs Budapest HonvedFootball · National League | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3:1 | WON |
| Zwickau vs HallescherFootball · Regional League. North-East | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1:3 | WON |
| Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Montevideo City Torque vs CiencianoFootball · Quarter-finals. Second Leg | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Renate vs Dolomiti BellunesiFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes DonsFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Carpi vs OspitalettoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Giana Erminio vs TrentoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Viktoria Plzen vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · League phase | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.