Laval vs Sochaux
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Challenge League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 56m before
Football · Regional League. East
X2Double Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · 2 division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Regional League. East
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval vs SochauxFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Grenoble vs ClermontFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Pau vs DunkerqueFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Almere City vs Heracles AlmeloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Oberwart vs SC/ESV ParndorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 56m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Neuchatel Xamax vs Rapperswil-JonaFootball · Challenge League | first seen 56m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Favoritner vs KremserFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 36m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Fremad Amager vs Naestved BKFootball · 2 division | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Lyngby vs SilkeborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Muglaspor vs Igdir BelediyesporFootball · League 1 | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Kolding IF vs HillerodFootball · 1st Division | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Skive vs B-93 CopenhagenFootball · 2 division | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Gloggnitz vs HornFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Bristol City vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 2:2 | WON |
| Kapfenberg vs AmstettenFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Vllaznia Shkoder vs Teuta DurresFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Zabbar St. Patrick vs BirkirkaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Prostejov vs Dukla PragueFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Opava vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Hranice vs Slovacko 2Football · League 3 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Yate Town vs Chippenham TownFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 39m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Juve Stabia vs CesenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.