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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Popesti Leordeni vs ASU Politehnica Timisoara

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-09-19 · first seen 2h before

Panetolikos U19 vs PAOK U19

Football · U19. Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 8h before

PSM Makassar vs Persita Tangerang

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Prepere vs Hlinsko

Football · League 4

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Teplice U19 vs Opava U19

Football · U19. Youth league

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-5

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Brandys nad Labem vs Ujezd Prague 4

Football · League 4

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia Targoviste

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Concordia Chiajna vs Metalul Buzau

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Luton Town vs Bradford City

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
3:0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Werder Bremen vs Augsburg

Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
3:2

2026-09-19 · first seen 40m before

Stefanestii de Jos vs Metaloglobus Bucharest

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Jeonnam Dragons vs Suwon City

Football · K League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-09-19 · first seen 44m before

Armadale vs UWA Nedlands

Football · Western Australia. National Premier League. Promotion/Relegation

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 44m before

Bucheon 1995 vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 44m before

Chungnam Asan vs Cheonan City

Football · K League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 44m before

Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale

Football · Victoria. National Premier League. Final

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

Atletico La Paz vs Correcaminos

Football · Liga de Expansion

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-19 · first seen 5h before

CSD Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Guastatoya

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

San Diego Wave (w) vs Kansas City (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Atletico Choloma vs Estrella Roja

Football · Liga Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 1h before

Sao Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-19 · first seen 26h before

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Football · Primera division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-18 · first seen 4d 4h before

Central Cordoba SdE vs Defensa y Justicia

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-18 · first seen 2h before

ASO Chlef vs MC Oran

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Santani vs Sol de America

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-18 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Popesti Leordeni vs ASU Politehnica TimisoaraFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-4LOST
Panetolikos U19 vs PAOK U19Football · U19. Superleague2026-09-19first seen 8h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-2WON
PSM Makassar vs Persita TangerangFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-2WON
Prepere vs HlinskoFootball · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—5-0WON
Teplice U19 vs Opava U19Football · U19. Youth league2026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-5LOST
Brandys nad Labem vs Ujezd Prague 4Football · League 42026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-2WON
Unirea Slobozia vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1WON
Concordia Chiajna vs Metalul BuzauFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-1LOST
Luton Town vs Bradford CityFootball · League 12026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—3:0WON
Werder Bremen vs AugsburgFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/272026-09-19first seen 40m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—3:2LOST
Stefanestii de Jos vs Metaloglobus BucharestFootball · League 22026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-1LOST
Jeonnam Dragons vs Suwon CityFootball · K League 22026-09-19first seen 44m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-3WON
Armadale vs UWA NedlandsFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League. Promotion/Relegation2026-09-19first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—3-0WON
Bucheon 1995 vs Gimcheon SangmuFootball · Superleague2026-09-19first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-2LOST
Chungnam Asan vs Cheonan CityFootball · K League 22026-09-19first seen 44m before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—3-1WON
Oakleigh Cannons vs AvondaleFootball · Victoria. National Premier League. Final2026-09-19first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-0WON
Atletico La Paz vs CorrecaminosFootball · Liga de Expansion2026-09-19first seen 5h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-1LOST
CSD Comunicaciones vs Deportivo GuastatoyaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-19first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2WON
San Diego Wave (w) vs Kansas City (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-0WON
Atletico Choloma vs Estrella RojaFootball · Liga Nacional2026-09-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-0WON
Sao Bernardo vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B2026-09-19first seen 26h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-0WON
Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo BuloFootball · Primera division2026-09-18first seen 4d 4h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-3LOST
Central Cordoba SdE vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League2026-09-18first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-2WON
ASO Chlef vs MC OranFootball · League 12026-09-18first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1LOST
Deportivo Santani vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 22026-09-18first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—3-0WON

276–300 of 2972· 2026 won / 946 lost · −143.0u · −4.8% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.