Udinese vs Cagliari
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 10m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Ligue 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Regional League. Bavaria
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Cup. Qualifying stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Regional League. South-West
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Regional League. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · 2 division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Regional League. Bavaria
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Superleague. Relegation Group
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese vs CagliariFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| MP vs JIPPOFootball · League 1 | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Versailles vs QuevillyFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Concarneau vs SM CaenFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Sorrento vs BariFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| GVVV Veenendaal vs KloetingeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Forli vs TorresFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zorya vs Dynamo KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| RKAV Volendam vs BarendrechtFootball · Division 2 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Stuttgart 2 vs Jahn RegensburgFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna DüsseldorfFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| SpVgg Bayreuth vs UnterhachingFootball · Regional League. Bavaria | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Walton & Hersham vs HorshamFootball · Cup. Qualifying stage | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0:3 | WON |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz vs Freiburg 2Football · Regional League. South-West | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Vsetin vs VrchovinaFootball · League 3 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Real Sociedad 2 vs MallorcaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Weiche Flensburg vs Phonix LubeckFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Tottenham U21 vs Manchester City U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.55 · +1.4% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Middelfart vs VSK AarhusFootball · 2 division | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Guingamp vs Red StarFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Illertissen vs FC MemmingenFootball · Regional League. Bavaria | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Aarhus Fremad vs HvidovreFootball · 1st Division | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Turun Palloseura vs Ilves TampereFootball · Superleague. Relegation Group | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Alashkert vs Pyunik YerevanFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Chiangrai United vs Sisaket UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.