Trabzonspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.13 · +12.1% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 2h before
Vitibet Algorithm
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices
Meaningful samplen=3912Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Streaks and worst run
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
Claimed vs what happened
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
Calibration over time
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Performance charts
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Cumulative P/L by pick (units)
all 3912
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
P/L by month (units)
P/L by league (units)
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
By market
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
By league
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Recent settled picks
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Won
Parnu Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 2h before
Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 1h before
Trencin vs Spartak Trnava
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV
- Score
- 0-4
· first seen 1h before
Real Sireti vs Dacia Buiucani
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 1h before
Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV
- Score
- 4-1
· first seen 51m before
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 34m before
AGF Aarhus vs Odense
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.77 · −5.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-2
· first seen 4h before
Young Boys vs Vaduz
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 4h before
Harju Laagri vs Nomme Kalju
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.45 · −4.6% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Mura vs Koper
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 2h before
Fastav Zlin vs Slovan Liberec
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 1h before
Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warsaw
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.00 · +1.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Zurich vs Basel
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
- Feed close
- 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 1.95 · −17.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 27m before
Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.32 · +5.6% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 27m before
Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-3
· first seen 12m before
Slavia Prague vs Bohemians Prague
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.20 · −6.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-2
· first seen 4h before
Jaro vs Oulu
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 50m before
Partizani Tirana vs Teuta Durres
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 50m before
Macva Sabac vs Radnicki Nis
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 3h before
Balti vs Zimbru
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-4
· first seen 1h before
Rizespor vs Samsunspor
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 2h before
Ruzomberok vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 2h before
Laci vs Elbasani
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 50m before
Kelantan Red Warrior vs Selangor
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.05 · −4.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-4
· first seen 57m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor vs Istanbul BasaksehirFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.13 · +12.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Parnu Vaprus vs Flora TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Teplice vs Zbrojovka BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Trencin vs Spartak TrnavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Real Sireti vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme UnitedFootball · Superleague | first seen 51m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie LubinFootball · Superleague | first seen 34m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| AGF Aarhus vs OdenseFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.77 · −5.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Young Boys vs VaduzFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.28 · −1.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Harju Laagri vs Nomme KaljuFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.45 · −4.6% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Mura vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Fastav Zlin vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Piast Gliwice vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.00 · +1.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Zurich vs BaselFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 1.95 · −17.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Fenerbahce vs KonyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.32 · +5.6% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew LodzFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs Bohemians PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.20 · −6.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Jaro vs OuluFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Partizani Tirana vs Teuta DurresFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Macva Sabac vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Balti vs ZimbruFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Rizespor vs SamsunsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Ruzomberok vs Dukla Banska BystricaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Laci vs ElbasaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kelantan Red Warrior vs SelangorFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.05 · −4.5% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.