Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 57m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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1XDouble Chance
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X2Double Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
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X2Double Chance
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Liberec vs Mlada BoleslavFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Korona KielceFootball · Superleague | first seen 42m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Songshan LongmenFootball · Superleague | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Nomme Kalju vs Trans NarvaFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.45 · −3.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Levadia Tallinn vs Parnu VaprusFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.11 · +3.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Besiktas vs Erzurumspor BBFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Skenderbeu Korce vs FC TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Macva SabacFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.45 · +16.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Buxoro vs NavbahorFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Johor Darul Takzim vs Negeri SembilanFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.01-100001/1000.01-100.00+0.01from 1.01 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia BialystokFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Brinje Grosuplje vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al ZawraaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.90 · +16.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Xorazm Urganch vs SogdianaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Samarqand vs Qizilqum ZarafshonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Al Karma vs Al Naft BaghdadFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 4.60+36018/53.60+3.60-0.28from 4.60 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Newroz vs MosulFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Al Minaa vs Naft MaysanFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Hradec Kralove vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Parnu Vaprus vs Harju LaagriFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Levadia Tallinn vs KuressaareFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.12 · −2.6% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Jablonec vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.95 · +8.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Daejeon Citizen vs AnyangFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.