Spartak Trnava vs Kosice
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 5-2
· first seen 27m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 48m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 48m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 18m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 57m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Trnava vs KosiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Konyaspor vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.93 · +0.5% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Lugano vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.50 · +23.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Alanyaspor vs GoztepeFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Banik Ostrava vs PardubiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Teuta Durres vs VoraFootball · Superleague | first seen 48m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.58 · +21.5% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Cukaricki vs Novi PazarFootball · Superleague | first seen 48m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.45 · +13.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| FC Gwangju vs AnyangFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Dukla Banska Bystrica vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 18m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Rosenborg vs TromsoFootball · Superleague | first seen 18m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.63 · 0.0% CLV | 5-3 | WON |
| Trencin vs DAK 1904 Dunajska StredaFootball · Superleague | first seen 18m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.57 · −1.9% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon FCFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| Ruzomberok vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague | first seen 18m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 3.15+21543/202.15+2.15-0.47from 3.40 · +7.9% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Petrocub vs Real SiretiFootball · Superleague | first seen 18m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.20 · −1.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Gornik Zabrze vs Lech PoznanFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Diyala vs Al GarafFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Lillestrom vs ValerengaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Samsunspor vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-5 | LOST |
| Eyupspor vs RizesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Partizani Tirana vs Dinamo TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Nomme United vs Flora TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Sparta Prague vs JablonecFootball · Superleague | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2:0 | WON |
| Bohemians Prague vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Zbrojovka Brno vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.