Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka Tartu
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.18 · +1.7% CLV
- Score
- 6-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka TartuFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.18 · +1.7% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| Al Karkh vs Naft MaysanFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Navbahor vs Dinamo SamarqandFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| Thun vs ServetteFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu VaprusFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.43 · −4.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Lugano vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.95 · −9.3% CLV | 4:1 | WON |
| Korona Kielce vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Grasshoppers Zurich vs SionFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.75 · −1.7% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Erbil vs Al KarmaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Radomiak Radom vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.80 · +5.7% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Zemun vs Radnik SurdulicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.13 · −5.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Bodo/Glimt vs SandefjordFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.16 · +5.5% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Al Naft Baghdad vs KarbalaaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.77 · +14.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Al Jolan vs NewrozFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Gaziantep BB vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.53 · +3.4% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Midtjylland vs BrondbyFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 4:1 | WON |
| NK Radomlje vs MariborFootball · Superleague | first seen 11m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Al Karkh vs DuhokFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Naft Maysan vs Al TalabaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.35 · −6.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Galatasaray vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.33 · +4.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Amedspor vs Istanbul BasaksehirFootball · Superleague | first seen 31m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 5-0 | LOST |
| Elbasani vs Egnatia RrogozhineFootball · Superleague | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Nordsjaelland vs AGF AarhusFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Milsami vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
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