Qingdao Manatee vs Shanghai Shenhua
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6927
6922 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.8%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−488.7u
over 6922u staked
Yield
−7.1%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 78 | 44.9%34%–56% | +0.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1404 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2504 | 60.3%58%–62% | −5.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2524 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 397 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.5pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 11 | 81.8%52%–95% | −8.8pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3819
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±115.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 144 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3788 | 58.6% | −326.1u |
| Double chance | 3139 | 67.9% | −162.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1126 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 535 | 64.7% | −36.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 363 | 60.3% | +35.7u |
| League 2 | 240 | 58.3% | −37.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 146 | 63.7% | −10.1u |
| Serie B | 142 | 59.9% | −15.5u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 106 | 54.3% | −20.6u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 106 | 64.2% | −5.9u |
| Serie A | 100 | 53.0% | −21.2u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6927 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 34m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Manatee vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Wisla Krakow vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Sonderjyske vs ViborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Zbrojovka Brno vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| SJK Seinajoki vs GnistanFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Dinamo SamarqandFootball · Superleague | first seen 34m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague | first seen 4m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.