Al Minaa vs Al Naft Baghdad
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa vs Al Naft BaghdadFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Fenerbahce vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.80 · −18.2% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vllaznia Shkoder vs Partizani TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Flora Tallinn vs Nomme KaljuFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| AGF Aarhus vs SilkeborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Artis Brno vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Komarno vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.77 · +5.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Young Boys vs FC LuzernFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.47 · +2.8% CLV | 2:4 | LOST |
| Radnik Surdulica vs CukarickiFootball · Superleague | first seen 38m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Korona Kielce vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.50 · −12.3% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Rosenborg vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Parnu Vaprus vs Nomme UnitedFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.18 · +6.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs Zbrojovka BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Shanghai Port vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 14m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.80 · −5.3% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0:5 | LOST |
| Sandefjord vs VikingFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.65 · −8.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Piast Gliwice vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 31m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Nafta Lendava vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Naft Maysan vs NewrozFootball · Superleague | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Fredrikstad vs Bodo/GlimtFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
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