Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 23m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6478
6473 graded · 5 void
Win rate
63.1%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−442.4u
over 6473u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 3 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 57 | 45.6%33%–58% | +0.9pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1290 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2358 | 60.8%59%–63% | −5.3pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2389 | 68.6%67%–70% | −6.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 366 | 72.1%67%–76% | −8.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 10 | 80.0%49%–94% | −10.6pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3370
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±110.9u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 136 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3472 | 58.8% | −292.7u |
| Double chance | 3006 | 68.1% | −149.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1102 | 65.6% | −58.1u |
| League 1 | 520 | 64.6% | −35.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 338 | 60.7% | +35.4u |
| League 2 | 226 | 58.4% | −34.7u |
| Division 1 | 176 | 59.7% | −25.5u |
| Division 2 | 138 | 63.8% | −9.8u |
| Serie B | 137 | 61.3% | −11.9u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 97 | 51.5% | −22.5u |
| National league | 91 | 53.3% | −19.2u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6478 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 59m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague | first seen 23m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Widzew Lodz vs Korona KielceFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs MariborFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Viktoria Plzen vs Fastav ZlinFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Dacia Buiucani vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Radnik Surdulica vs Macva SabacFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kasimpasa SK vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.80 · −6.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Slovan Bratislava vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Nafta Lendava vs CeljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.75 · −17.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Skalica vs KosiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Slovacko vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Kokand 1912 vs Lokomotiv TashkentFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| KFUM Oslo vs LillestromFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian YingboFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan LongmenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| FC Seoul vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Newroz vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 4.00 · 0.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Galatasaray vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.18 · −10.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Viborg vs AGF AarhusFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Rosenborg vs VikingFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Nomme United vs Tammeka TartuFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| VPS Vaasa vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.