Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Prague
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6366
6361 graded · 5 void
Win rate
63.2%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−429.8u
over 6361u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L4
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 2 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 49 | 42.9%30%–57% | −2.0pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1255 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2325 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2359 | 68.6%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 361 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.1pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 10 | 80.0%49%–94% | −10.6pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3258
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±109.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 134 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3378 | 58.9% | −283.2u |
| Double chance | 2988 | 68.1% | −146.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1100 | 65.6% | −57.5u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 330 | 61.5% | +39.7u |
| League 2 | 226 | 58.4% | −34.7u |
| Division 1 | 172 | 59.9% | −24.3u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 137 | 61.3% | −11.9u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 96 | 52.1% | −21.5u |
| National league | 89 | 53.4% | −19.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6366 picks with a captured kickoff.
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1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
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· first seen 23m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovan Liberec vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Fredrikstad vs KristiansundFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Zimbru vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.43 · −13.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Real Sireti vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Harju Laagri vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Randers vs CopenhagenFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Brann vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Molde vs TromsoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.00 · −17.8% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.42 · −9.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sarpsborg 08 vs SandefjordFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Nasaf vs PakhtakorFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Oulu vs Inter TurkuFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| FC Lahti vs KuPS KuopioFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Lyngby vs MidtjyllandFootball · Superleague | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| HJK Helsinki vs JaroFootball · Superleague | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Banik Ostrava vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Aalesund vs ValerengaFootball · Superleague | first seen 28m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 5-5 | WON |
| Odense vs HorsensFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Incheon United vs Gimcheon SangmuFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon FCFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk MotorsFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Cukaricki vs OFK BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs TrencinFootball · Superleague | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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