Shanghai Port vs Dalian Yingbo
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6250
6246 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−422.6u
over 6246u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1214 | 55.6%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2300 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2332 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 352 | 72.4%68%–77% | −7.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 10 | 80.0%49%–94% | −10.6pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3143
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 131 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3274 | 58.9% | −278.2u |
| Double chance | 2976 | 68.1% | −144.4u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1095 | 65.6% | −58.3u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 313 | 62.3% | +42.5u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 137 | 61.3% | −11.9u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 96 | 52.1% | −21.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6250 picks with a captured kickoff.
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· first seen 9m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Port vs Dalian YingboFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Erbil vs Al KahrabaaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.55 · −12.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Motor LublinFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.97 · +3.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Samsunspor vs GoztepeFootball · Superleague | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Pardubice vs Mlada BoleslavFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Konyaspor vs RizesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Dukla Banska Bystrica vs ZilinaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Mura vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.92 · −4.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Fastav Zlin vs Bohemians PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask WroclawFootball · Superleague | first seen 39m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Navbahor vs Bunyodkor TashkentFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.35 · +12.5% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Artis Brno vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju UnitedFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.72 · −7.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Sandefjord vs KFUM OsloFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Brinje Grosuplje vs MuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Motor Lublin vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 43m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| OFK Beograd vs Zeleznicar PancevoFootball · Superleague | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Aluminij vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.40 · +12.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Novi SadFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Brondby vs SonderjyskeFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Besiktas vs EyupsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Amedspor vs Erzurumspor BBFootball · Superleague | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.10 · +3.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Koper vs BravoFootball · Superleague | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
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