Sion vs Lugano
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 12h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sion vs LuganoFootball · Superleague | first seen 12h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Nomme Kalju vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 11h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Gangwon FC vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 10h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| FC Gwangju vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV | 2:3 | WON |
| Novi Pazar vs Macva SabacFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.58 · −7.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Cukaricki vs Vojvodina Novi SadFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-5 | LOST |
| Dukla Banska Bystrica vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Gaziantep BB vs RizesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Young Boys vs BaselFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Galatasaray vs GoztepeFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.40 · +12.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Al Zawraa vs ZakhoFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Bravo vs MuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.10 · −8.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon SzczecinFootball · Superleague | first seen 15m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Karkh vs Al KahrabaaFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2:3 | LOST |
| Banik Ostrava vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Radnik SurdulicaFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 2.10 · +25.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Zimbru vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs KosiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Konyaspor vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Servette vs FC LuzernFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Trencin vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.20 · +3.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Pardubice vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.43 · −21.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Motor Lublin vs Piast GliwiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Nomme United vs Harju LaagriFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.