Operario Ferroviario vs Vila Nova
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.80 · +22.6% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3d 4h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3d 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3d 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operario Ferroviario vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.80 · +22.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sao Bernardo vs Nautico CapibaribeFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cesena vs SampdoriaFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Pisa vs PadovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.78 · +0.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Puerto Montt vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Cobreloa vs Union EspanolaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cuiaba vs GoiasFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.17 · −7.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Empoli vs CremoneseFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Sudtirol vs Virtus EntellaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Carrarese vs MantovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Avellino vs ArezzoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes CopiapoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Vicenza vs CatanzaroFootball · Serie B | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Atletico Goianiense vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Vila Nova vs Ponte PretaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3d 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 6-0 | WON |
| San Marcos Arica vs Union San FelipeFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Iquique vs AntofagastaFootball · Serie B | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| America Mineiro vs Athletic Minas GeraisFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| CRB vs NovorizontinoFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Deportes Temuco vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B | first seen 23m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Union Espanola vs San Marcos AricaFootball · Serie B | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3d 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Deportes Copiapo vs Curico UnidoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3d 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Magallanes vs CobreloaFootball · Serie B | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
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