Nublense vs Deportes Concepcion
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 2m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A
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· first seen 23m before
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense vs Deportes ConcepcionFootball · Serie A | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria SalvadorFootball · Serie A | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportes Limache vs Everton VMFootball · Serie A | first seen 28m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Jaguares Cordoba vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 23m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Cobresal vs PalestinoFootball · Serie A | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza ZipaquiraFootball · Serie A | first seen 45m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| La Serena vs CobresalFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.62 · +10.2% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Bragantino vs GremioFootball · Serie A | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.67 · +6.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Santos SP vs MirassolFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.87 · +8.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chapecoense vs Sao PauloFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Palmeiras SP vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.57 · −1.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Huachipato vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Deportes Tolima vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.15 · +37.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Jaguares Cordoba vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.80 · +7.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Nublense vs Union La CaleraFootball · Serie A | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportes Limache vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Coquimbo Unido vs La SerenaFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Once Caldas vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Palestino vs HuachipatoFootball · Serie A | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.58 · 0.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Mirassol vs Flamengo RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Atletico Mineiro vs GremioFootball · Serie A | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
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