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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=6218

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

6222

6218 graded · 4 void

Win rate

63.3%

95% CI 62%–65%

Profit

−421.6u

over 6218u staked

Yield

−6.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W4

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%3743.2%29%–59%29%–59%−1.7pp
50–60%avg claim 56%120155.5%53%–58%53%–58%−0.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%229561.0%59%–63%59%–63%−5.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%232568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%35072.3%67%–77%67%–77%−8.0pp
90–100%avg claim 91%9———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3115

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 6218

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner325058.9%−278.6u
Double chance297268.2%−143.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League109465.5%−58.8u
League 151964.7%−34.5u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page30762.5%+42.9u
League 222558.7%−33.7u
Division 117159.6%−24.9u
Division 213764.2%−8.8u
Serie B13561.5%−11.2u
Championship11862.7%−11.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page10164.4%−5.4u
Serie A9552.6%−20.5u
National league8754.0%−18.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.42 · −0.7% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-15 · first seen 12m before

Talaa El Geish vs Smouha

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 52m before

Dynamo Kiev vs Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.40 · −1.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 26m before

Geylang International vs Tanjong Pagar United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-14 · first seen 5h before

Huracan vs Racing Avellaneda

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.65 · +3.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-14 · first seen 27m before

Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeno

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 2.05 · +17.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Braga vs Estoril

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.45 · +5.1% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Moreirense vs Maritimo

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.70 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-14 · first seen 4h before

Cacahuatique vs Inter FA

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-13 · first seen 2m before

Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.05 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 2h before

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 56m before

Sirius vs Degerfors

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Djurgardens vs GAIS

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 3h before

Velez Mostar vs Sarajevo

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.20 · −2.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 41m before

Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-13 · first seen 26m before

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Hajduk Split vs Slaven Belupo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Al-Diriyah vs Abha

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.52 · +10.9% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Leones del Norte vs Tecnico Universitario

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.83 · −1.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.17 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Al-Riyadh vs Al-Kholood

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 2.30 · +29.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

Banga Gargzdai vs Transinvest

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:3

2026-09-14 · first seen 2h before

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chernomorets Odessa

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.12 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-14 · first seen 1h before

Tigre vs Rosario Central

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-13 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Instituto Cordoba vs Estudiantes Rio CuartoFootball · Premier League2026-09-15first seen 12m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.42 · −0.7% CLV2:1WON
Talaa El Geish vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 52m before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-1LOST
Dynamo Kiev vs Epitsentr Kamianets-PodilskyiFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 26m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.40 · −1.4% CLV3-0WON
Geylang International vs Tanjong Pagar UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV1-0WON
Huracan vs Racing AvellanedaFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.65 · +3.9% CLV2-1WON
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 2.05 · +17.1% CLV0-2WON
Braga vs EstorilFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.45 · +5.1% CLV2:1WON
Moreirense vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2:0LOST
Rio Ave vs Estrela AmadoraFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.70 · +8.0% CLV1:1LOST
Cacahuatique vs Inter FAFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV0-2WON
Atletico Grau vs Alianza AtleticoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.05 · 0.0% CLV3-1LOST
Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo MaldonadoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 56m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.50 · −2.0% CLV1-0LOST
Sirius vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV2:0WON
Djurgardens vs GAISFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV2:0WON
Velez Mostar vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 41m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.20 · −2.2% CLV1-0LOST
Mosta vs Sliema WanderersFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 26m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-3WON
Sport Boys vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-0LOST
Hajduk Split vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Al-Diriyah vs AbhaFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.52 · +10.9% CLV0-0LOST
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico UniversitarioFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.83 · −1.1% CLV0-1LOST
PSV vs Sparta RotterdamFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.17 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Al-Riyadh vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 2.30 · +29.2% CLV2-0LOST
Banga Gargzdai vs TransinvestFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1:3WON
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chernomorets OdessaFootball · Premier League2026-09-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.12 · 0.0% CLV2:0WON
Tigre vs Rosario CentralFootball · Premier League2026-09-13first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1LOST

201–225 of 1094· 717 won / 377 lost · −58.8u · −5.4% yield · of 6222 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.