Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar vs Al-Faisaly Harmah
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV
- Score
- 1:2
· first seen 2m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 24m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 10h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar vs Al-Faisaly HarmahFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV | 1:2 | LOST |
| Al Jahra vs Al Arabi KuwaitFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League | first seen 24m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Casa Pia vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Skala vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Al-Hazem vs Al-Shabab RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3:3 | WON |
| Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Nasr Al Farwaniyah vs Al FahaheelFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.35 · +9.8% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Telstar vs AjaxFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| NSI Runavik vs AB ArgirFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Hatta Dubai vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Feyenoord vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Willem II vs HeerenveenFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| AIK vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League | first seen 12h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.60 · +18.5% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Utrecht vs PSVFootball · Premier League | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV | 1:6 | WON |
| Alianza Lima vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Tucuman vs BelgranoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| Guayaquil City vs LDU QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Cavalry vs VancouverFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.47 · −6.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.98 · −4.3% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo City TorqueFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.30 · +4.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.72 · +7.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Varazdin vs RudesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| PEC Zwolle vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Cercle Brugge vs Lommel UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.