Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 16m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sanat Naft Abadan vs SepahanFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Velez Mostar vs Radnik BijeljinaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs Persepolis TehranFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad KhuzestanFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Malavan vs Nassaji MazandaranFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Zob Ahan vs PaykanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Scottland Mabvuku vs PlatinumFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| El Gounah vs Al MokawloonFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV | 3:0 | WON |
| Mito HollyHock vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.85 · +8.8% CLV | 4:2 | LOST |
| Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs TokyoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.98 · +20.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| JEF United vs Fagiano OkayamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2:3 | LOST |
| Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki FrontaleFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.90 · −1.0% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.07 · −5.0% CLV | 0:2 | WON |
| LDU Quito vs Mushuc RunaFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Delfin vs Tecnico UniversitarioFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico Grau vs MelgarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.30 · +15.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.73 · +13.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Al Tadamon vs Al SalmiyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.68 · +3.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
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