Brommapojkarna vs Goteborg
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 10m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
6222
6218 graded · 4 void
Win rate
63.3%
95% CI 62%–65%
Profit
−421.6u
over 6218u staked
Yield
−6.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 37 | 43.2%29%–59% | −1.7pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1201 | 55.5%53%–58% | −0.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2295 | 61.0%59%–63% | −5.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2325 | 68.5%67%–70% | −6.5pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 350 | 72.3%67%–77% | −8.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 9 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
3115
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±108.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 130 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3250 | 58.9% | −278.6u |
| Double chance | 2972 | 68.2% | −143.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1094 | 65.5% | −58.8u |
| League 1 | 519 | 64.7% | −34.5u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 307 | 62.5% | +42.9u |
| League 2 | 225 | 58.7% | −33.7u |
| Division 1 | 171 | 59.6% | −24.9u |
| Division 2 | 137 | 64.2% | −8.8u |
| Serie B | 135 | 61.5% | −11.2u |
| Championship | 118 | 62.7% | −11.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 101 | 64.4% | −5.4u |
| Serie A | 95 | 52.6% | −20.5u |
| National league | 87 | 54.0% | −18.8u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 6222 picks with a captured kickoff.
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X2Double Chance
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 54m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna vs GoteborgFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Orgryte vs SiriusFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV | 1:2 | WON |
| Richards Bay vs Sekhukhune UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.25 · +10.8% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Zorya vs Dynamo KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Alashkert vs Pyunik YerevanFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Chiangrai United vs Sisaket UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Young Lions vs Geylang InternationalFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Pattani vs PrachuapFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.52 · 0.0% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Rasi Salai United vs Lamphun WarriorFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Isloch Minsk vs Neman GrodnoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Yokohama F-Marinos vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Tokyo vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| FC Kharkiv vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.78 · −6.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.60 · +2.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Central Cordoba SdE vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes UnidosFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.53 · −7.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Bohemians Dublin vs Drogheda UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Airbus UK vs Flint Town UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.75 · −7.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
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