Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 7m before
Vitibet Algorithm
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices
Meaningful samplen=7141Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Streaks and worst run
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
Claimed vs what happened
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
Calibration over time
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Performance charts
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Cumulative P/L by pick (units)
all 7141
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
P/L by month (units)
P/L by league (units)
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
By market
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
By league
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Recent settled picks
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Won
Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo Minsk
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 1h before
Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-4
· first seen 3m before
Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 3m before
Torpedo-BelAZ vs Dnepr Mogilev
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 4h before
Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 3h before
Al-Kholood vs Al-Taawoun Buraydah
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 3h before
FAS vs Aguila San Miguel
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 1h before
KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.52 · −6.2% CLV
- Score
- 3-5
· first seen 3h before
KI Klaksvik vs NSI Runavik
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-2
· first seen 51m before
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV
- Score
- 4-1
· first seen 5h before
Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 50m before
Mosta vs Balzan
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 6m before
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 1h before
PSV vs Groningen
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.33 · +6.4% CLV
- Score
- 5-1
· first seen 19m before
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 50m before
Rijeka vs Istra 1961
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 3h before
B-68 Toftir vs Skala
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3h before
Nacional Montevideo vs Atletico Progreso
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.08 · −1.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Esteghlal Tehran vs Sepahan
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Melgar vs Alianza Lima
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Delfin vs Deportivo Aucas
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 1h before
Hajduk Split vs Osijek
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.02 · −6.0% CLV
- Score
- 4-0
· first seen 6m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanus vs Argentinos JuniorsFootball · Premier League | first seen 7m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Breidablik vs Fram ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Gil Vicente vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Torpedo-BelAZ vs Dnepr MogilevFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei SakhninFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| FAS vs Aguila San MiguelFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| KA Akureyri vs KR ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.52 · −6.2% CLV | 3-5 | WON |
| KI Klaksvik vs NSI RunavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs CuscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV | 4-1 | LOST |
| Dungannon Swifts vs BangorFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Mosta vs BalzanFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| PSV vs GroningenFootball · Premier League | first seen 19m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.33 · +6.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al DhafraFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rijeka vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| B-68 Toftir vs SkalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.08 · −1.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs SepahanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Melgar vs Alianza LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Delfin vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Hajduk Split vs OsijekFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.02 · −6.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.