Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
- Feed close
- 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| The New Saints vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Cardiff Metropolitan vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Rio Ave vs Sporting LisbonFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.32 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Galway vs ShelbourneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Drogheda United vs FC DundalkFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Valletta vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Barry Town vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
| Holywell Town vs CaernarfonFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.30 · +11.1% CLV | 3-5 | WON |
| Genk vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Connahs Quay vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Celik Zenica vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.19 · −3.3% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Al- Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV | 4:3 | WON |
| Groningen vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV | 2:3 | LOST |
| Vikingur Gota vs HB TorshavnFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Foolad Khuzestan vs Esteghlal TehranFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Ceramika CleopatraFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Gomel vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Hibernians vs Zabbar St. PatrickFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Al Wasl Dubai vs Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.93 · −9.0% CLV | 0:3 | WON |
| Sepahan vs Gol GoharFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Al-Fayha vs AbhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.95 · +15.7% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Al-Riyadh vs NeomFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.93 · +5.5% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams AzarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
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