Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.35 · −12.9% CLV
- Score
- 1:0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
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X2Double Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.35 · −12.9% CLV | 1:0 | LOST |
| Halmstads vs Kalmar FFFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya ZhytomyrFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Arouca vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Excelsior vs Sparta RotterdamFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Alverca vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Bangor vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Elfsborg vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs BaranovichiFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hacken vs VasterasFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa FukuokaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.05 · −14.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano OkayamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.45 · −10.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.73 · −8.9% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs TokyoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0:3 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.97 · +10.7% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Mito HollyHock vs Machida ZelviaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Boca Juniors vs LanusFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo CuencaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.35 · +4.4% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
| Atletico Ottawa vs Inter TorontoFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Supra du Quebec vs ForgeFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Mushuc Runa vs DelfinFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
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