Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2:0
· first seen 32m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 38m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman vs BelgranoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| Guayaquil City vs LDU QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Cavalry vs VancouverFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.47 · −6.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 1.98 · −4.3% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo City TorqueFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.30 · +4.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Gimnasia La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.72 · +7.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Varazdin vs RudesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| PEC Zwolle vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Cercle Brugge vs Lommel UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sarajevo vs Zrinjski MostarFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.85 · −7.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Riestra vs Velez SarsfieldFootball · Premier League | first seen 53m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi NetanyaFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.42 · −5.3% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi TiberiasFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| IB Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Beer ShevaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.43 · −6.5% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Academico Viseu vs PortoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Juventud Las Piedras vs Deportivo MaldonadoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Boston River vs Cerro MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.85 · −7.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Hamrun Spartans vs FlorianaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead EaglesFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.38 · +3.8% CLV | 5:2 | WON |
| Kortrijk vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.92 · −12.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.