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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41from 3.75 · +8.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 24h before

Orense vs Macara

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.30 · −4.2% CLV
Score
4:1

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Argentinos Juniors vs Aldosivi

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja Luka

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Banfield vs River Plate

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Osijek vs Slaven Belupo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Cambuur vs Twente

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
Score
1:4

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar vs Al-Faisaly Harmah

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV
Score
1:2

2026-08-30 · first seen 2m before

Al Jahra vs Al Arabi Kuwait

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 24m before

Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 9m before

Skala vs 07 Vestur

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 4h before

Al-Hazem vs Al-Shabab Riyadh

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
3:3

2026-08-30 · first seen 4h before

Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-30 · first seen 3h before

Al Nasr Al Farwaniyah vs Al Fahaheel

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.35 · +9.8% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-08-30 · first seen 3h before

Telstar vs Ajax

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-30 · first seen 2h before

NSI Runavik vs AB Argir

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Hatta Dubai vs Al Sharjah

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-08-30 · first seen 1h before

Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 27m before

Willem II vs Heerenveen

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:2

2026-08-30 · first seen 27m before

AIK vs Hammarby

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.60 · +18.5% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-30 · first seen 12h before

Utrecht vs PSV

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
1:6

2026-08-30 · first seen 10h before

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-30 · first seen 32m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 24h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41from 3.75 · +8.7% CLV1-1LOST
Orense vs MacaraFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-2WON
Sport Boys vs Sporting CristalFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.30 · −4.2% CLV4:1WON
Argentinos Juniors vs AldosiviFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV2-1WON
Famalicao vs Gil VicenteFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja LukaFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV2-2LOST
Banfield vs River PlateFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-3WON
Osijek vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV3-0WON
Cambuur vs TwenteFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV1:4WON
Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar vs Al-Faisaly HarmahFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.17 · +1.7% CLV1:2LOST
Al Jahra vs Al Arabi KuwaitFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV2-1LOST
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Tel AvivFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 24m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV0-0LOST
Casa Pia vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 9m beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-1WON
Skala vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-1WON
Al-Hazem vs Al-Shabab RiyadhFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—3:3WON
Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-0WON
Al Nasr Al Farwaniyah vs Al FahaheelFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.35 · +9.8% CLV2:1WON
Telstar vs AjaxFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV0-4WON
NSI Runavik vs AB ArgirFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.25 · +8.7% CLV3-1WON
Hatta Dubai vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV1:1LOST
Feyenoord vs ADO Den HaagFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.15 · −2.5% CLV2-2LOST
Willem II vs HeerenveenFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 27m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2:2WON
AIK vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 12h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.60 · +18.5% CLV3-2LOST
Utrecht vs PSVFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 10h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV1:6WON
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League2026-08-30first seen 32m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1LOST

601–625 of 1138· 748 won / 390 lost · −56.7u · −5.0% yield · of 7146 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.