Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2:3
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 18m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 13m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 15m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red DiamondsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2:3 | LOST |
| Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki FrontaleFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.90 · −1.0% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.07 · −5.0% CLV | 0:2 | WON |
| LDU Quito vs Mushuc RunaFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Delfin vs Tecnico UniversitarioFootball · Premier League | first seen 18m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico Grau vs MelgarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.30 · +15.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.73 · +13.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Al Tadamon vs Al SalmiyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.68 · +3.1% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Kruger United vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Durban City vs StellenboschFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Wadi Degla vs Olympic El QanalFootball · Premier League | first seen 13m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Ghazl El Mahalla vs ENPPIFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Tigre vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League | first seen 15m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Breidablik vs StjarnanFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Benfica vs EstorilFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Braga vs Vitoria GuimaraesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| HNK Gorica vs RijekaFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 4:0 | LOST |
| Racing Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 29m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| KI Klaksvik vs EB/StreymurFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.18 · +5.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi HaifaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| GAIS vs BrommapojkarnaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4:0 | LOST |
| Ammanford vs Cardiff MetropolitanFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Cienciano vs CuscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.