Dundee vs St Johnstone
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
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X2Double Chance
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X2Double Chance
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X2Double Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 16m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kilmarnock vs Saint MirrenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Siroki Brijeg vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sint-Truidense vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Hibernians vs VallettaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Ceramika Cleopatra vs FutureFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan NovopolotskFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.15 · +0.9% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs MilfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sanat Naft Abadan vs SepahanFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Velez Mostar vs Radnik BijeljinaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs Persepolis TehranFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kheybar Khorramabad vs Foolad KhuzestanFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Malavan vs Nassaji MazandaranFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Zob Ahan vs PaykanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Scottland Mabvuku vs PlatinumFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| El Gounah vs Al MokawloonFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya GrampusFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.50 · −2.0% CLV | 3:0 | WON |
| Mito HollyHock vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.85 · +8.8% CLV | 4:2 | LOST |
| Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs TokyoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.98 · +20.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Yokohama F-Marinos vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2:2 | WON |
| JEF United vs Fagiano OkayamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.