Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 6m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3928
3927 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.2u
over 3927u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 731 | 55.1%52%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1483 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1499 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
824
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1991 | 68.6% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 1937 | 60.4% | −126.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 731 | 67.2% | −21.2u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3928 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
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X2Double Chance
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· first seen 38m before
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AwayMatch Winner
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard vs CambuurFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Manta vs Leones del NorteFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Genk vs VesterloFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Leuven vs BruggeFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Excelsior vs PSVFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-FatehFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.11 · −3.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Milford vs Kruger UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Durban City vs Richards BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.20 · +4.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| San Lorenzo Almagro vs Union Santa FeFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 3.15+21543/202.15+2.15-0.47from 2.75 · −12.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Aldosivi vs TigreFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Thor Akureyri vs KeflavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Utrecht vs AZ AlkmaarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Istra 1961 vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Sanat Naft Abadan vs MalavanFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kortrijk vs Royal AntwerpFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Al-Taawoun Buraydah vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Caernarfon vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Shams Azar vs Persepolis TehranFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Juventud Las Piedras vs Montevideo City TorqueFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Ordabasy vs Altay OskemenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.22 · +5.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Willem II vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Al Dhafra vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.