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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7018

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7023

7018 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.7%

95% CI 62%–64%

Profit

−508.6u

over 7018u staked

Yield

−7.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W3

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%8045.0%35%–56%35%–56%+0.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%143755.1%53%–58%53%–58%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%253360.1%58%–62%58%–62%−6.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%255568.5%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%39873.1%69%–77%69%–77%−7.4pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1181.8%52%–95%52%–95%−8.8pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

3915

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7018

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±116.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 145 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner385158.6%−335.1u
Double chance317267.7%−173.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113565.7%−56.5u
League 154064.8%−35.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
National league10654.3%−20.6u
Serie A10152.5%−22.2u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7023 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Leones del Norte vs Orense

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 20m before

Universidad Catolica Quito vs Deportivo Aucas

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 1h before

Hibernian vs Hearts

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-09-03 · first seen 47m before

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 32m before

Gent vs Leuven

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 32m before

Al-Diriyah vs Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 2m before

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 54m before

Al Ahly Cairo vs Smouha

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 24m before

Mjolby vs Djurgardens

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.85 · +14.2% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-03 · first seen 24m before

Neom vs Al- Khaleej Saihat

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 4h before

Alashkert vs Van

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.09-11119/1000.09-11.11+0.09from 1.16 · +6.4% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-03 · first seen 4h before

Banga Gargzdai vs Panevezys

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.77 · −6.8% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-03 · first seen 4h before

Al-Fayha vs Al-Kholood

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.65 · +10.4% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-03 · first seen 3h before

Isloch Minsk vs BATE Borisov

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-03 · first seen 2h before

Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del Valle

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-03 · first seen 1m before

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 17m before

Celtic vs Aberdeen

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Macara vs Manta

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Falkirk vs Rangers

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Floriana vs Gzira United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 1h before

Motherwell vs Dundee United

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Dundee vs St Johnstone

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Kilmarnock vs Saint Mirren

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-02 · first seen 47m before

Siroki Brijeg vs Sarajevo

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-02 · first seen 32m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Leones del Norte vs OrenseFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 20m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV1-0WON
Universidad Catolica Quito vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV1-1LOST
Hibernian vs HeartsFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-3WON
Anderlecht vs KortrijkFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV1-0WON
Gent vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV1-0WON
Al-Diriyah vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV0-2WON
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar JerusalemFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 54m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-0LOST
Al Ahly Cairo vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 24m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV1-0WON
Mjolby vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 24m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.85 · +14.2% CLV3:0LOST
Neom vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Alashkert vs VanFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.09-11119/1000.09-11.11+0.09from 1.16 · +6.4% CLV0-4LOST
Banga Gargzdai vs PanevezysFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.77 · −6.8% CLV0-3LOST
Al-Fayha vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.65 · +10.4% CLV2-2WON
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Isloch Minsk vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV2-0WON
Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del ValleFootball · Premier League2026-09-03first seen 1m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-0LOST
Celtic vs AberdeenFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Macara vs MantaFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV4-3WON
Falkirk vs RangersFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV1-2WON
Floriana vs Gzira UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.45 · −9.4% CLV4-1WON
Motherwell vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-0WON
Dundee vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV1-1LOST
Kilmarnock vs Saint MirrenFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-1WON
Siroki Brijeg vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League2026-09-02first seen 32m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2WON

526–550 of 1135· 746 won / 389 lost · −56.5u · −5.0% yield · of 7023 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.